Strategy #168
Momentum Ignition Breakout
Entry Logic
Enter long on the 1-minute candle close above a significant resistance level. Confirmation: Price must accelerate rapidly, closing near its high, with high relative volume. The breakout candle must be at least 2x the average candle size. Timeframe: 1-minute for entry, 5-minute for context. Location: Breaking out of a tight range. Market condition: Initiating strong directional movement.
Exit Logic
Target 1: 1.5R. Scale out 50%. Target 2: 3R. Scale out remaining 50%. Trailing stop 1-minute 9 EMA. Exit if price closes below the 9 EMA after 1R profit. Exit if momentum stalls for 5 consecutive 1-minute candles.
Stop Loss Structure
Place hard stop 0.5R below the low of the breakout candle. Max dollar loss $200. Max 0.5% portfolio loss. Structural stop below the consolidation low.
Risk Management Framework
Risk 0.5% of capital per trade. Max daily loss 2%. Max weekly loss 5%. Maintain 2:1 R:R minimum.
Position Sizing Model
Size to risk 0.5% of capital. Reduce size by 25% for B setups. Increase size by 25% for A+ setups. No scaling in.
Trade Filtering
Only trade high-volume stocks ($5+). Avoid news events. Avoid chop zones (ATR < 0.5%). Trade during market open (9:30 AM - 11:00 AM EST).
Context Framework
Trade only in direction of daily trend. Price must be above 20 VWAP. Price must be above 50 SMA on 5-minute chart. Breakout should occur from a clear consolidation. Higher timeframe (15-minute) must show bullish structure.
Trade Management Rules
Move stop to breakeven after 1R profit. Scale out 50% at 1.5R. Re-evaluate if price consolidates at 2R. Manage fast moves aggressively; slow moves allow more room.
Time Rules
Optimal window: 9:30 AM - 10:30 AM EST. Avoid 12:00 PM - 1:00 PM EST. Session notes: Post-opening volatility offers best opportunities.
Setup Classification
A+: Strong daily trend, high volume breakout, rapid acceleration. A: Clear daily trend, good volume, strong acceleration. B: Moderate daily trend, average volume, less rapid acceleration.
Market Selection Criteria
Stocks with average daily volume > 5 million shares. Volatility (ATR) > 1.0%. Market cap > $1 billion.
Statistical Edge Metrics
Expected win rate 55-60%. Avg win 1.8R. Avg loss 0.7R. Profit factor > 1.5. Expectancy $200 per $100 risked.
Failure Conditions
Breakout fails to hold. Momentum quickly fades. Volume declines after breakout. Market reverses.
Psychological Rules
Adhere strictly to stop loss. Do not chase trades. Accept small losses. Avoid revenge trading.
Advanced Components
Use 5-minute chart for multi-timeframe alignment. Confirm breakout on 1-minute and 5-minute. Scan for sector strength.
Location
Strongest in early market session. Weakest during lunch hour.