Strategy #275
Round Number Scalp
Entry Logic
- Exact entry trigger: The price approaches a round number (e.g., $50, $100) and stalls.
- Confirmation requirements: The Level 2 order book shows a large number of orders at the round number.
- Timeframe required: 5-minute chart.
- Location context: N/A.
- Market condition requirement: Any market condition.
Exit Logic
- Profit target(s): 20-30 cents away from the round number.
- Scaling out rules: No scaling out.
- Trailing stop rules: No trailing stop.
- Exit on signal failure: If the price breaks through the round number, exit the trade.
- Exit on opposite signal: N/A.
- Exit on time expiration: Exit the trade after 30 minutes, regardless of the outcome.
- Exit on momentum loss: If the volume dries up, exit the trade.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard stop location: 10 cents on the other side of the round number.
- Soft stop rules: None.
- Maximum dollar loss per trade: $100.
- Maximum percent loss per trade: 1% of the account.
- Structural stop placement: On the other side of the round number.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk per trade: 0.5% of the account.
- Maximum daily loss limit: 2 consecutive losing trades.
- Maximum weekly loss limit: 3% of the account.
- Maximum drawdown allowed: 5% of the account.
- Risk-reward ratio requirement: 2:1.
Position Sizing Model
- Recommended sizing approach: Fixed share size.
- Volatility-based adjustment: N/A.
- Conviction-based sizing (A+/A/B setup): N/A.
- Scaling in rules: No scaling in.
- Scaling out rules: No scaling out.
Trade Filtering
- Market conditions to avoid: N/A.
- Specific setups required: A stock approaching a round number.
- Stock/instrument requirements: Any stock.
- Time of day restrictions: N/A.
- Chop/news avoidance rules: Avoid trading around major news events.
Context Framework
- Trend direction assessment: N/A.
- VWAP relationship: N/A.
- Moving average relationship: N/A.
- Range location: N/A.
- Higher timeframe alignment: N/A.
Trade Management Rules
- When to move stop to breakeven: After the price has moved 15 cents in your favor.
- When to scale out: No scaling out.
- When to add size: No adding size.
- How to handle fast moves vs slow moves: In fast moves, take profits at pre-defined targets. In slow moves, be patient and let the trade work.
Time Rules
- Optimal trading window: N/A.
- Times to avoid: N/A.
- Session-specific notes: This strategy can be used at any time of the day.
Setup Classification
- A+ setup criteria: All entry criteria are met.
- A setup criteria: N/A.
- B setup criteria: N/A.
- C setup criteria: The stock shows no reaction to the round number.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instrument requirements: Any stock.
- Volume/liquidity requirements: The stock must have sufficient liquidity to enter and exit the trade easily.
- Volatility requirements: N/A.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Expected win rate: 60%.
- Average win size: $0.30.
- Average loss size: $0.15.
- Profit factor: 1.2.
- Expectancy per trade: $0.03.
Failure Conditions
- Market conditions where strategy fails: N/A.
- Specific scenarios to avoid: Trading stocks that are ignoring round numbers.
Psychological Rules
- Key mental discipline requirements: The ability to anticipate how other traders will react to round numbers.
Advanced Components
- Market regime detection: N/A.
- Volatility/liquidity filters: N/A.
- Correlation filters: N/A.
- Multi-timeframe alignment: N/A.
Location
- Where this setup is strongest: In stocks that have a history of respecting round numbers.
- Where this setup is weakest: In stocks that are in a strong trend and ignoring all levels.
- Location changes outcome: N/A.