Ch. 7Strategy #290

Strategy #290

Dark Pool Print Reaction Scalp

Entry Logic

  • Exact entry trigger: A large dark pool print is reported, and the price starts to move in the direction of the print.
  • Confirmation requirements: The move is accompanied by an increase in volume on the lit exchanges.
  • Timeframe required: 5-minute chart.
  • Location context: N/A.
  • Market condition requirement: Any market condition.

Exit Logic

  • Profit target(s): 20-30 cents in the direction of the print.
  • Scaling out rules: No scaling out.
  • Trailing stop rules: No trailing stop.
  • Exit on signal failure: If the price does not move in the direction of the print, exit the trade.
  • Exit on opposite signal: If a larger print is reported on the other side, exit the trade.
  • Exit on time expiration: Exit the trade after 30 minutes, regardless of the outcome.
  • Exit on momentum loss: If the volume dries up, exit the trade.

Stop Loss Structure

  • Hard stop location: 10 cents against the direction of the print.
  • Soft stop rules: None.
  • Maximum dollar loss per trade: $100.
  • Maximum percent loss per trade: 1% of the account.
  • Structural stop placement: N/A.

Risk Management Framework

  • Risk per trade: 0.5% of the account.
  • Maximum daily loss limit: 2 consecutive losing trades.
  • Maximum weekly loss limit: 3% of the account.
  • Maximum drawdown allowed: 5% of the account.
  • Risk-reward ratio requirement: 2:1.

Position Sizing Model

  • Recommended sizing approach: Fixed share size.
  • Volatility-based adjustment: N/A.
  • Conviction-based sizing (A+/A/B setup): N/A.
  • Scaling in rules: No scaling in.
  • Scaling out rules: No scaling out.

Trade Filtering

  • Market conditions to avoid: N/A.
  • Specific setups required: A large dark pool print.
  • Stock/instrument requirements: Any stock.
  • Time of day restrictions: N/A.
  • Chop/news avoidance rules: Avoid trading around major news events.

Context Framework

  • Trend direction assessment: N/A.
  • VWAP relationship: N/A.
  • Moving average relationship: N/A.
  • Range location: N/A.
  • Higher timeframe alignment: N/A.

Trade Management Rules

  • When to move stop to breakeven: After the price has moved 15 cents in your favor.
  • When to scale out: No scaling out.
  • When to add size: No adding size.
  • How to handle fast moves vs slow moves: In fast moves, take profits at pre-defined targets. In slow moves, be patient and let the trade work.

Time Rules

  • Optimal trading window: N/A.
  • Times to avoid: N/A.
  • Session-specific notes: This strategy can be used at any time of the day.

Setup Classification

  • A+ setup criteria: All entry criteria are met.
  • A setup criteria: N/A.
  • B setup criteria: N/A.
  • C setup criteria: The print is not significant.

Market Selection Criteria

  • Instrument requirements: Any stock.
  • Volume/liquidity requirements: The stock must have sufficient liquidity to enter and exit the trade easily.
  • Volatility requirements: N/A.

Statistical Edge Metrics

  • Expected win rate: 60%.
  • Average win size: $0.30.
  • Average loss size: $0.15.
  • Profit factor: 1.2.
  • Expectancy per trade: $0.03.

Failure Conditions

  • Market conditions where strategy fails: N/A.
  • Specific scenarios to avoid: Trading against a strong trend.

Psychological Rules

  • Key mental discipline requirements: The ability to interpret dark pool prints.

Advanced Components

  • Market regime detection: N/A.
  • Volatility/liquidity filters: N/A.
  • Correlation filters: N/A.
  • Multi-timeframe alignment: N/A.

Location

  • Where this setup is strongest: When the print is in the direction of the prevailing trend.
  • Where this setup is weakest: When the print is against the prevailing trend.
  • Location changes outcome: N/A.