Strategy #299
High of Day Momentum Break
Entry Logic
- Entry trigger: Price breaks above the high of the day.
- Confirmation: Volume on the breakout bar is 2x the average volume.
- Timeframe: 5-minute chart.
- Location context: Price is above VWAP.
- Market condition: The market is trending up.
Exit Logic
- Profit targets: 1R and 2R.
- Scaling out: Sell 50% at 1R.
- Trailing stop: Use the 9-period EMA as a trailing stop.
- Signal failure exit: Exit if price closes below the breakout level.
- Opposite signal exit: Not applicable.
- Time expiration: Exit by the end of the day.
- Momentum loss: Exit if momentum slows significantly.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard stop: Below the low of the breakout bar.
- Soft stop: A close below the breakout level.
- Max dollar loss: 0.5% of account equity.
- Max percent loss: 1% of the trade's value.
- Structural stop: Below the most recent swing low.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk per trade: 0.25% of account equity.
- Daily limit: 4 losing trades.
- Weekly limit: 15 losing trades.
- Max drawdown: 3% of account equity.
- R:R requirement: 1.5:1.
Position Sizing Model
- Sizing approach: Fixed risk per trade.
- Volatility adjustment: Not applicable.
- Conviction sizing: Not applicable.
- Scaling in/out: Scale out at profit targets.
Trade Filtering
- Market conditions: Avoid choppy markets.
- Setups: Only trade clean breakouts.
- Instruments: High-volume stocks.
- Time restrictions: Trade during the first 2 hours of the session.
- Chop/news avoidance: Avoid trading around news events.
Context Framework
- Trend direction: The 15-minute chart should be in an uptrend.
- VWAP relationship: Price must be above VWAP.
- MA relationship: The 9-period EMA is above the 20-period EMA.
- Range location: Breakout from an opening range.
- Higher TF alignment: The 1-hour chart should be bullish.
Trade Management Rules
- Breakeven: Move stop to breakeven after 1R is reached.
- Scale out: At profit targets.
- Add size: Do not add size.
- Fast vs slow moves: Let fast moves run.
Time Rules
- Optimal window: 9:30 AM to 11:30 AM EST.
- Times to avoid: After 11:30 AM EST.
- Session notes: Strongest in the morning.
Setup Classification
- A+ criteria: Clean breakout with high volume.
- A criteria: Breakout with average volume.
- B criteria: Messy breakout.
- C criteria: Avoid.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instruments: Stocks in play for the day.
- Volume: High relative volume.
- Volatility: Good intraday movement.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Win rate: 60%
- Avg win: 1.5R
- Avg loss: 1R
- Profit factor: 1.9
- Expectancy: 0.5R per trade
Failure Conditions
- When strategy fails: Fails in choppy, non-trending markets.
Psychological Rules
- Mental discipline: Do not chase breakouts.
Advanced Components
- Regime detection: Not applicable.
- Filters: Volume filter.
- Correlation: Not applicable.
- MTF alignment: Check the 15-minute and 1-hour charts.
Location
- Where strongest: In strongly trending markets.
- Where weakest: In range-bound markets.