Strategy #306
Rate of Change Momentum
Entry Logic
- Entry trigger: The 10-period Rate of Change (ROC) indicator crosses above the zero line.
- Confirmation: The price is above the 20-period moving average.
- Timeframe: 15-minute chart.
- Location context: The entry occurs after a pullback to the 20-period moving average.
- Market condition: The market is in an uptrend.
Exit Logic
- Profit targets: 2R and 4R.
- Scaling out: Sell 50% at 2R.
- Trailing stop: Use the 20-period moving average as a trailing stop.
- Signal failure exit: Exit if the ROC crosses below the zero line.
- Opposite signal exit: Not applicable.
- Time expiration: Exit by the end of the day.
- Momentum loss: Exit if the ROC starts to decline.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard stop: Below the low of the entry candle.
- Soft stop: A close below the 20-period moving average.
- Max dollar loss: 0.5% of account equity.
- Max percent loss: 1% of the trade's value.
- Structural stop: Below the most recent swing low.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk per trade: 0.25% of account equity.
- Daily limit: 4 losing trades.
- Weekly limit: 15 losing trades.
- Max drawdown: 3% of account equity.
- R:R requirement: 2:1.
Position Sizing Model
- Sizing approach: Fixed risk per trade.
- Volatility adjustment: Not applicable.
- Conviction sizing: Not applicable.
- Scaling in/out: Scale out at profit targets.
Trade Filtering
- Market conditions: Avoid range-bound markets.
- Setups: Only trade clear ROC signals.
- Instruments: Any liquid stock.
- Time restrictions: Not applicable.
- Chop/news avoidance: Not applicable.
Context Framework
- Trend direction: The 1-hour chart should be in an uptrend.
- VWAP relationship: Price should be above VWAP.
- MA relationship: The 20-period MA should be above the 50-period MA.
- Range location: The entry should occur after a pullback from a new high.
- Higher TF alignment: The daily chart should be in an uptrend.
Trade Management Rules
- Breakeven: Move stop to breakeven after 1R.
- Scale out: At profit targets.
- Add size: Do not add size.
- Fast vs slow moves: Let fast moves run.
Time Rules
- Optimal window: Not applicable.
- Times to avoid: Not applicable.
- Session notes: Can be used in any session.
Setup Classification
- A+ criteria: A clear ROC signal with all context criteria met.
- A criteria: A clear ROC signal with most context criteria met.
- B criteria: A clear ROC signal with some context criteria met.
- C criteria: Avoid.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instruments: Any liquid stock.
- Volume: Not a primary consideration.
- Volatility: Not a primary consideration.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Win rate: 60%
- Avg win: 2R
- Avg loss: 1R
- Profit factor: 1.2
- Expectancy: 0.2R per trade
Failure Conditions
- When strategy fails: Fails in choppy, non-trending markets.
Psychological Rules
- Mental discipline: Be patient and wait for the pullback.
Advanced Components
- Regime detection: Use a trend-following indicator to confirm the market regime.
- Filters: Not applicable.
- Correlation: Not applicable.
- MTF alignment: Check the 1-hour and daily charts.
Location
- Where strongest: In trending markets.
- Where weakest: In range-bound markets.