Ch. 8Strategy #324

Strategy #324

Accumulation/Distribution Momentum

Entry Logic

  • Entry trigger: The Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) line is trending in the same direction as the price.
  • Confirmation: The price is breaking out of a consolidation pattern.
  • Timeframe: 30-minute chart.
  • Location context: The entry occurs after a period of consolidation.
  • Market condition: The market is in an uptrend.

Exit Logic

  • Profit targets: 2R and 4R.
  • Scaling out: Sell 50% at 2R.
  • Trailing stop: Use the 20-period EMA as a trailing stop.
  • Signal failure exit: Exit if the A/D line starts to diverge from the price.
  • Opposite signal exit: Not applicable.
  • Time expiration: Exit by the end of the day.
  • Momentum loss: Exit if the A/D line starts to decline.

Stop Loss Structure

  • Hard stop: Below the low of the entry candle.
  • Soft stop: A close below the 20-period EMA.
  • Max dollar loss: 1% of account equity.
  • Max percent loss: 2% of the trade's value.
  • Structural stop: Below the most recent swing low.

Risk Management Framework

  • Risk per trade: 0.5% of account equity.
  • Daily limit: 3 losing trades.
  • Weekly limit: 10 losing trades.
  • Max drawdown: 5% of account equity.
  • R:R requirement: 2:1.

Position Sizing Model

  • Sizing approach: Fixed fractional sizing.
  • Volatility adjustment: Not applicable.
  • Conviction sizing: A+ setups get full size, A setups get 75%, B setups get 50%.
  • Scaling in/out: Scale out at profit targets.

Trade Filtering

  • Market conditions: Avoid markets where the A/D line is not confirming the price action.
  • Setups: Only trade when the A/D line is confirming the price momentum.
  • Instruments: Any liquid stock.
  • Time restrictions: Not applicable.
  • Chop/news avoidance: Not applicable.

Context Framework

  • Trend direction: The 1-hour chart should be in an uptrend.
  • VWAP relationship: Price should be above VWAP.
  • MA relationship: The 20-period MA should be above the 50-period MA.
  • Range location: The entry should occur after a breakout from a range.
  • Higher TF alignment: The daily chart should be in an uptrend.

Trade Management Rules

  • Breakeven: Move stop to breakeven after 1R.
  • Scale out: At profit targets.
  • Add size: Do not add size.
  • Fast vs slow moves: Let fast moves run.

Time Rules

  • Optimal window: Not applicable.
  • Times to avoid: Not applicable.
  • Session notes: Can be used in any session.

Setup Classification

  • A+ criteria: A clear breakout with strong A/D confirmation.
  • A criteria: A clear breakout with good A/D confirmation.
  • B criteria: A marginal breakout with weak A/D confirmation.
  • C criteria: Avoid.

Market Selection Criteria

  • Instruments: Any liquid stock.
  • Volume: The A/D line is a volume-based indicator.
  • Volatility: Not a primary consideration.

Statistical Edge Metrics

  • Win rate: 60%
  • Avg win: 2.5R
  • Avg loss: 1R
  • Profit factor: 1.5
  • Expectancy: 0.5R per trade

Failure Conditions

  • When strategy fails: Fails when the A/D line gives a false signal.

Psychological Rules

  • Mental discipline: Trust the volume, as it often leads the price.

Advanced Components

  • Regime detection: Use the A/D line to confirm the market regime.
  • Filters: Not applicable.
  • Correlation: Not applicable.
  • MTF alignment: Check the 1-hour and daily charts.

Location

  • Where strongest: In trending markets with high volume.
  • Where weakest: In low-volume, choppy markets.