Ch. 10Strategy #383

Strategy #383

Volume Void Trade (Low Volume Node)

Entry Logic

  • Entry is a long position when the price enters a volume void (low volume node) from below.
  • Confirmation is a strong bullish candle closing inside the void.
  • Timeframe is the 60-minute chart.
  • Location is at the bottom of a volume void.
  • Market is in an uptrend.

Exit Logic

  • Profit target is the top of the volume void.
  • Do not scale out.
  • Trail the stop loss below the low of the entry candle.
  • Exit if the price closes back below the volume void.
  • Exit on a bearish reversal pattern.
  • Exit if the price does not move up quickly.
  • Exit if buying momentum stalls.

Stop Loss Structure

  • Hard stop is placed below the low of the entry candle.
  • Soft stop is a close back below the volume void.
  • Maximum dollar loss is $400 per trade.
  • Maximum percent loss is 4% of the account.
  • Structural stop is below the volume void.

Risk Management Framework

  • Risk 3% of the account per trade.
  • Daily loss limit is 9% of the account.
  • Weekly loss limit is 18% of the account.
  • Maximum drawdown is 35%.
  • Risk-reward ratio must be at least 1:1.

Position Sizing Model

  • Use a fixed fractional position sizing model.
  • No volatility adjustment.
  • Full size for all setups.
  • Do not scale in or out.

Trade Filtering

  • Avoid trading in downtrends.
  • Only trade when there is a clear volume void.
  • Trade only major stock indices.
  • Avoid trading during news events.
  • Do not trade in choppy markets.

Context Framework

  • Trend is up.
  • Price is above VWAP.
  • Price is above the 50 EMA.
  • Location is at the bottom of a volume void.
  • The higher timeframe chart (daily) shows a clear uptrend.

Trade Management Rules

  • Move stop to breakeven when the price reaches the midpoint of the volume void.
  • Do not scale out.
  • Do not add to the position.
  • Expect a fast move through the void.

Time Rules

  • Optimal trading window is from 10:00 AM to 2:00 PM EST.
  • Avoid trading in the last hour of the session.
  • The strategy works best on trending days.

Setup Classification

  • A+ setup: Entry into a large volume void in a strong uptrend.
  • A setup: Entry into a smaller volume void in a moderate uptrend.
  • B setup: Entry with low volume.
  • C setup: No clear volume void.

Market Selection Criteria

  • Trade SPY, QQQ, and IWM.
  • High volume is required.
  • Moderate to high volatility is preferred.

Statistical Edge Metrics

  • Expected win rate is 70%.
  • Average win is 1.5R.
  • Average loss is 1R.
  • Profit factor is 1.05.
  • Expectancy per trade is 0.05R.

Failure Conditions

  • The strategy fails if the price fails to move through the void.
  • Avoid trading when there is a strong bearish sentiment in the market.

Psychological Rules

  • Be prepared for a fast move.
  • Do not hesitate to take the trade when the opportunity arises.

Advanced Components

  • Use a volume profile to identify the volume void.
  • Use a trend filter to confirm the uptrend.
  • Do not trade correlated indices in the same direction.
  • The daily chart must confirm the uptrend.

Location

  • Strongest in a clear uptrend.
  • Weakest in a downtrend or a range-bound market.
  • The location of the volume void within the trend is important.