Strategy #397
Sweep Detection Trade
Entry Logic
- Entry is a long position when a large sweep order is detected, indicating an urgent buyer.
- Confirmation is the price moving in the direction of the sweep.
- Timeframe is the 1-minute chart.
- Location can be anywhere, but preferably at a breakout level.
- Market is in a volatile state.
Exit Logic
- Profit target is a quick scalp for a few ticks or points.
- Do not scale out.
- Use a time-based stop of 2 minutes.
- Exit if the price reverses.
- Exit on a bearish candle.
- Exit if momentum stalls.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard stop is placed 5 ticks below the entry price.
- Soft stop is a mental stop if the momentum dies.
- Maximum dollar loss is $50 per trade.
- Maximum percent loss is 0.5% of the account.
- Structural stop is not applicable for this strategy.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk 0.25% of the account per trade.
- Daily loss limit is 1% of the account.
- Weekly loss limit is 3% of the account.
- Maximum drawdown is 10%.
- Risk-reward ratio is not the primary concern; speed is.
Position Sizing Model
- Use a fixed lot size.
- No volatility adjustment.
- Same size for all setups.
- Do not scale in or out.
Trade Filtering
- Avoid trading in slow markets.
- Only trade when there is high volatility.
- Trade only highly liquid instruments.
- Trade only during the first hour of the market open.
- Do not trade in choppy markets.
Context Framework
- Trend is not a major factor.
- Price is moving fast.
- The market is in a state of high activity.
- Location is at a breakout level.
- The higher timeframe chart is not relevant for this strategy.
Trade Management Rules
- Take profits quickly.
- Do not hold the trade for more than a few minutes.
- Do not add to the position.
- Get out if the trade is not working immediately.
Time Rules
- Optimal trading window is from 9:30 AM to 10:00 AM EST.
- Avoid trading after the first hour.
- The strategy is designed for the opening volatility.
Setup Classification
- A+ setup: Large sweep at a key breakout level.
- A setup: Moderate sweep.
- B setup: Small sweep.
- C setup: No clear sweep.
Market Selection Criteria
- Trade ES, NQ, and RTY futures.
- High liquidity is essential.
- High volatility is required.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Expected win rate is 60%.
- Average win is 1R.
- Average loss is 1R.
- Profit factor is 0.6.
- Expectancy per trade is -0.4R.
Failure Conditions
- The strategy fails if the sweep is a fakeout.
- Avoid trading when the market is quiet.
Psychological Rules
- Be extremely quick and decisive.
- Do not hesitate to take the trade or the exit.
Advanced Components
- Use a sweep detection tool.
- Use a filter to measure the size of the sweep.
- Do not trade correlated instruments at the same time.
- The 1-minute chart is the only relevant timeframe.
Location
- Strongest at breakout levels.
- Weakest in the middle of a range.
- The location of the sweep is important for the follow-through.