Ch. 10Strategy #397

Strategy #397

Sweep Detection Trade

Entry Logic

  • Entry is a long position when a large sweep order is detected, indicating an urgent buyer.
  • Confirmation is the price moving in the direction of the sweep.
  • Timeframe is the 1-minute chart.
  • Location can be anywhere, but preferably at a breakout level.
  • Market is in a volatile state.

Exit Logic

  • Profit target is a quick scalp for a few ticks or points.
  • Do not scale out.
  • Use a time-based stop of 2 minutes.
  • Exit if the price reverses.
  • Exit on a bearish candle.
  • Exit if momentum stalls.

Stop Loss Structure

  • Hard stop is placed 5 ticks below the entry price.
  • Soft stop is a mental stop if the momentum dies.
  • Maximum dollar loss is $50 per trade.
  • Maximum percent loss is 0.5% of the account.
  • Structural stop is not applicable for this strategy.

Risk Management Framework

  • Risk 0.25% of the account per trade.
  • Daily loss limit is 1% of the account.
  • Weekly loss limit is 3% of the account.
  • Maximum drawdown is 10%.
  • Risk-reward ratio is not the primary concern; speed is.

Position Sizing Model

  • Use a fixed lot size.
  • No volatility adjustment.
  • Same size for all setups.
  • Do not scale in or out.

Trade Filtering

  • Avoid trading in slow markets.
  • Only trade when there is high volatility.
  • Trade only highly liquid instruments.
  • Trade only during the first hour of the market open.
  • Do not trade in choppy markets.

Context Framework

  • Trend is not a major factor.
  • Price is moving fast.
  • The market is in a state of high activity.
  • Location is at a breakout level.
  • The higher timeframe chart is not relevant for this strategy.

Trade Management Rules

  • Take profits quickly.
  • Do not hold the trade for more than a few minutes.
  • Do not add to the position.
  • Get out if the trade is not working immediately.

Time Rules

  • Optimal trading window is from 9:30 AM to 10:00 AM EST.
  • Avoid trading after the first hour.
  • The strategy is designed for the opening volatility.

Setup Classification

  • A+ setup: Large sweep at a key breakout level.
  • A setup: Moderate sweep.
  • B setup: Small sweep.
  • C setup: No clear sweep.

Market Selection Criteria

  • Trade ES, NQ, and RTY futures.
  • High liquidity is essential.
  • High volatility is required.

Statistical Edge Metrics

  • Expected win rate is 60%.
  • Average win is 1R.
  • Average loss is 1R.
  • Profit factor is 0.6.
  • Expectancy per trade is -0.4R.

Failure Conditions

  • The strategy fails if the sweep is a fakeout.
  • Avoid trading when the market is quiet.

Psychological Rules

  • Be extremely quick and decisive.
  • Do not hesitate to take the trade or the exit.

Advanced Components

  • Use a sweep detection tool.
  • Use a filter to measure the size of the sweep.
  • Do not trade correlated instruments at the same time.
  • The 1-minute chart is the only relevant timeframe.

Location

  • Strongest at breakout levels.
  • Weakest in the middle of a range.
  • The location of the sweep is important for the follow-through.