Strategy #449
CCI Trend Trade (+100/-100)
Entry Logic
- Exact Entry Trigger: In an uptrend, enter long when CCI dips below +100 and then crosses back above it. In a downtrend, enter short when CCI rallies above -100 and then crosses back below it.
- Confirmation: A candle closing in the direction of the trend.
- Timeframe: 15-minute, 60-minute.
- Market Condition: Established trend.
Exit Logic
- Profit Targets: Target the prior swing high/low.
- Opposite Signal: Exit if CCI crosses the zero line against the trade.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard Stop: Place stop below the recent pullback low.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk Per Trade: 1% of account capital.
- R:R Requirement: Minimum 2:1.
Position Sizing Model
- Sizing Approach: Fixed fractional.
Trade Filtering
- Market Conditions to Avoid: Ranging markets.
Context Framework
- Trend Direction: Only trade in the direction of the established trend.
Trade Management Rules
- Breakeven: Move stop to breakeven after a 1R move.
Time Rules
- Optimal Window: Mid-morning to late afternoon.
Setup Classification
- A+ Setup: The pullback aligns with a key Fibonacci retracement level (e.g., 50%).
Market Selection Criteria
- Instruments: Trend-following stocks and commodities.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Win Rate: 55-65%.
- Profit Factor: 1.9.
- Expectancy: 0.45R.
Failure Conditions
- Strategy Fails: When the trend is weak or reversing.
Psychological Rules
- Discipline: Avoid chasing entries if the pullback is missed.
Advanced Components
- Filters: Use an ADX reading above 25 to confirm the trend strength.
Location
- Strongest: As a continuation trade in a strong, confirmed trend.