Ch. 12Strategy #474

Strategy #474

Fisher Transform Trade

Entry Logic

  • Exact Entry Trigger: Enter long when the Fisher Transform line crosses above its signal line. Enter short when it crosses below.
  • Confirmation: The cross should happen after the Fisher has reached an extreme reading (e.g., above +1 or below -1).
  • Timeframe: 5-minute, 15-minute.
  • Market Condition: Potential reversal.

Exit Logic

  • Profit Targets: Exit on the opposite signal line cross.

Stop Loss Structure

  • Hard Stop: Place stop beyond the price extreme of the reversal.

Risk Management Framework

  • Risk Per Trade: 0.75% of account capital.
  • R:R Requirement: Minimum 1.5:1.

Position Sizing Model

  • Sizing Approach: Fixed fractional.

Trade Filtering

  • Market Conditions to Avoid: Strong trending markets.

Context Framework

  • Range Location: Look for signals at the boundaries of a known range.

Trade Management Rules

  • Take Profits: This is a reversal strategy; don_t expect a new trend.

Time Rules

  • Optimal Window: During range-bound market conditions.

Setup Classification

  • A+ Setup: A Fisher cross that occurs with a divergence at a major support/resistance level.

Market Selection Criteria

  • Instruments: Any liquid instrument.

Statistical Edge Metrics

  • Win Rate: 55-65%.
  • Profit Factor: 1.5.
  • Expectancy: 0.25R.

Failure Conditions

  • Strategy Fails: When used to fade a strong, established trend.

Psychological Rules

  • Discipline: Wait for the extreme reading before looking for a cross.

Advanced Components

  • Filters: Combine with Bollinger Bands to identify range boundaries.

Location

  • Strongest: For identifying short-term turning points within a trading range.