Strategy #474
Fisher Transform Trade
Entry Logic
- Exact Entry Trigger: Enter long when the Fisher Transform line crosses above its signal line. Enter short when it crosses below.
- Confirmation: The cross should happen after the Fisher has reached an extreme reading (e.g., above +1 or below -1).
- Timeframe: 5-minute, 15-minute.
- Market Condition: Potential reversal.
Exit Logic
- Profit Targets: Exit on the opposite signal line cross.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard Stop: Place stop beyond the price extreme of the reversal.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk Per Trade: 0.75% of account capital.
- R:R Requirement: Minimum 1.5:1.
Position Sizing Model
- Sizing Approach: Fixed fractional.
Trade Filtering
- Market Conditions to Avoid: Strong trending markets.
Context Framework
- Range Location: Look for signals at the boundaries of a known range.
Trade Management Rules
- Take Profits: This is a reversal strategy; don_t expect a new trend.
Time Rules
- Optimal Window: During range-bound market conditions.
Setup Classification
- A+ Setup: A Fisher cross that occurs with a divergence at a major support/resistance level.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instruments: Any liquid instrument.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Win Rate: 55-65%.
- Profit Factor: 1.5.
- Expectancy: 0.25R.
Failure Conditions
- Strategy Fails: When used to fade a strong, established trend.
Psychological Rules
- Discipline: Wait for the extreme reading before looking for a cross.
Advanced Components
- Filters: Combine with Bollinger Bands to identify range boundaries.
Location
- Strongest: For identifying short-term turning points within a trading range.