Strategy #485
Renko Breakout Trade
Entry Logic
- Exact Entry Trigger: Enter long on the formation of the first new green Renko brick after a series of red bricks. Enter short on the first new red brick after a series of green bricks.
- Confirmation: Look for a sequence of at least two bricks in the new direction.
- Timeframe: Time-independent; based on brick size.
- Market Condition: Trending.
Exit Logic
- Profit Targets: Exit on the formation of two opposing-colored bricks.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard Stop: Place stop at the low of the brick prior to the entry brick.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk Per Trade: Determined by the brick size.
Position Sizing Model
- Sizing Approach: Position size based on the fixed dollar value of the brick size.
Trade Filtering
- Market Conditions to Avoid: Choppy markets where bricks will alternate color frequently.
Context Framework
- Trend Direction: Renko charts are designed to filter out noise and show the trend.
Trade Management Rules
- Let Profits Run: Stay with the trade as long as the bricks are a consistent color.
Time Rules
- N/A
Setup Classification
- A+ Setup: A breakout from a long period of alternating, choppy bricks.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instruments: Any, but brick size must be optimized.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Win Rate: 50-60%.
- Profit Factor: 2.0.
- Expectancy: 0.6R.
Failure Conditions
- Strategy Fails: If the brick size is too small, leading to excessive noise. If too large, it will lag.
Psychological Rules
- Discipline: Trust the trend shown by the bricks and ignore the noise of time-based charts.
Advanced Components
- Optimization: Brick size is the most critical parameter to optimize (e.g., using a percentage of ATR).
Location
- Strongest: In markets with clear, directional trends.