Strategy #487
0DTE Put Scalp
Entry Logic
- Entry Trigger: 1-minute candle closes below VWAP after a bearish divergence on the 1-minute RSI.
- Confirmation: Volume on the entry candle is 150% of the 20-period moving average of volume.
- Timeframe: 1-minute chart for entry, 5-minute for context.
- Location: Below the opening range low, below the 9 EMA.
- Market Condition: Strong downtrend on the underlying asset.
Exit Logic
- Profit Target: 20% gain on the option premium.
- Scaling Out: Sell 50% at 20% gain, trail the rest.
- Trailing Stop: 10% trailing stop on the option premium.
- Signal Failure: Exit if the underlying asset closes back above VWAP.
- Opposite Signal: Exit on a bullish divergence on the 1-minute RSI.
- Time Expiration: Close position 30 minutes before market close.
- Momentum Loss: Exit if the underlying asset's volume drops below the 20-period moving average.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard Stop: 15% loss on the option premium.
- Soft Stop: If the underlying asset breaks the high of the entry candle.
- Max Dollar Loss: $100 per contract.
- Max Percent Loss: 15% of the option premium.
- Structural Stop: Above the most recent 1-minute swing high.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk Per Trade: 0.5% of account balance.
- Daily Limit: 3 losing trades.
- Weekly Limit: 5% drawdown.
- Max Drawdown: 15% of account balance.
- R:R Requirement: Minimum 1.5:1.
Position Sizing Model
- Sizing Approach: Fixed number of contracts per trade.
- Volatility Adjustment: Reduce size by 50% if VIX is above 30.
- Conviction Sizing: A+ setups get 2x size.
- Scaling In: Not recommended for this strategy.
- Scaling Out: Sell 50% at profit target 1.
Trade Filtering
- Market Conditions: Avoid choppy, range-bound markets.
- Setups: Only take A+ or A setups.
- Instruments: SPY, QQQ, IWM.
- Time Restrictions: First 2 hours of the trading day.
- Chop/News Avoidance: Avoid trading during major news events.
Context Framework
- Trend Direction: Aligned with the 5-minute and 15-minute trend.
- VWAP Relationship: Trade only when the underlying is below VWAP.
- MA Relationship: Underlying is below the 9 and 21 EMAs on the 5-minute chart.
- Range Location: Entry is near the low of the daily range.
- Higher TF Alignment: 5-minute and 15-minute charts show a clear downtrend.
Trade Management Rules
- Breakeven: Move stop to breakeven after 10% gain.
- Scale Out: At 20% gain.
- Add Size: Not recommended.
- Fast vs Slow Moves: Let winners run in fast moves, take profits quickly in slow moves.
Time Rules
- Optimal Window: 9:30 AM - 11:30 AM EST.
- Times to Avoid: After 2:00 PM EST.
- Session Notes: Strongest during the morning session.
Setup Classification
- A+ Criteria: All entry criteria met, strong volume, clear trend.
- A Criteria: All entry criteria met, average volume.
- B Criteria: Missing one confirmation signal.
- C Criteria: Avoid.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instruments: Highly liquid ETFs (SPY, QQQ).
- Volume: Underlying daily volume > 50 million shares.
- Volatility: VIX between 15 and 30.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Win Rate: 55%.
- Avg Win: 25%.
- Avg Loss: 15%.
- Profit Factor: 1.65.
- Expectancy: Positive.
Failure Conditions
- Strategy Fails: In low-volume, choppy markets.
- Specific Scenarios: When the underlying asset has a sudden reversal.
Psychological Rules
- Mental Discipline: Stick to the plan, do not chase trades.
Advanced Components
- Regime Detection: Use a market regime filter to identify trending markets.
- Filters: Volume and volatility filters.
- Correlation: Avoid trading correlated assets simultaneously.
- MTF Alignment: 5, 15, and 60-minute charts must be aligned.
Location
- Strongest: In strong, trending markets.
- Weakest: In choppy, range-bound markets.