Ch. 13Strategy #499

Strategy #499

Dark Pool + Options Combo Signal

Entry Logic

  • Entry Trigger: A large dark pool print is followed by a large options order in the same direction.
  • Confirmation: The underlying's chart shows a potential breakout.
  • Timeframe: 15-minute chart.
  • Location: N/A.
  • Market Condition: Any.

Exit Logic

  • Profit Target: 50% gain.
  • Scaling Out: N/A.
  • Trailing Stop: 25% trailing stop.
  • Signal Failure: N/A.
  • Opposite Signal: N/A.
  • Time Expiration: Close by end of day.
  • Momentum Loss: N/A.

Stop Loss Structure

  • Hard Stop: 25% loss.
  • Soft Stop: N/A.
  • Max Dollar Loss: $250 per trade.
  • Max Percent Loss: 25% of the premium.
  • Structural Stop: N/A.

Risk Management Framework

  • Risk Per Trade: 1% of account balance.
  • Daily Limit: 2 losing trades.
  • Weekly Limit: 4% drawdown.
  • Max Drawdown: 10% of account balance.
  • R:R Requirement: Minimum 2:1.

Position Sizing Model

  • Sizing Approach: Fixed dollar amount per trade.
  • Volatility Adjustment: N/A.
  • Conviction Sizing: N/A.
  • Scaling In: N/A.
  • Scaling Out: N/A.

Trade Filtering

  • Market Conditions: Any.
  • Setups: Dark pool print + options order.
  • Instruments: Any.
  • Time Restrictions: Any.
  • Chop/News Avoidance: N/A.

Context Framework

  • Trend Direction: N/A.
  • VWAP Relationship: N/A.
  • MA Relationship: N/A.
  • Range Location: N/A.
  • Higher TF Alignment: N/A.

Trade Management Rules

  • Breakeven: Move stop to breakeven after 25% gain.
  • Scale Out: N/A.
  • Add Size: N/A.
  • Fast vs Slow Moves: N/A.

Time Rules

  • Optimal Window: Any.
  • Times to Avoid: N/A.
  • Session Notes: N/A.

Setup Classification

  • A+ Criteria: Very large dark pool print and options order with technical confirmation.
  • A Criteria: Large dark pool print and options order with technical confirmation.
  • B Criteria: Large dark pool print and options order without technical confirmation.
  • C Criteria: Avoid.

Market Selection Criteria

  • Instruments: Any.
  • Volume: High.
  • Volatility: Any.

Statistical Edge Metrics

  • Win Rate: 60%.
  • Avg Win: 50%.
  • Avg Loss: 25%.
  • Profit Factor: 1.2.
  • Expectancy: Positive.

Failure Conditions

  • Strategy Fails: When the signals are misleading.
  • Specific Scenarios: Institutional hedging.

Psychological Rules

  • Mental Discipline: Be patient and wait for both signals.

Advanced Components

  • Regime Detection: N/A.
  • Filters: Use a filter for dark pool prints and options orders.
  • Correlation: N/A.
  • MTF Alignment: N/A.

Location

  • Strongest: When the signals are aligned and confirmed by price action.
  • Weakest: When the signals are not confirmed.