Strategy #499
Dark Pool + Options Combo Signal
Entry Logic
- Entry Trigger: A large dark pool print is followed by a large options order in the same direction.
- Confirmation: The underlying's chart shows a potential breakout.
- Timeframe: 15-minute chart.
- Location: N/A.
- Market Condition: Any.
Exit Logic
- Profit Target: 50% gain.
- Scaling Out: N/A.
- Trailing Stop: 25% trailing stop.
- Signal Failure: N/A.
- Opposite Signal: N/A.
- Time Expiration: Close by end of day.
- Momentum Loss: N/A.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard Stop: 25% loss.
- Soft Stop: N/A.
- Max Dollar Loss: $250 per trade.
- Max Percent Loss: 25% of the premium.
- Structural Stop: N/A.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk Per Trade: 1% of account balance.
- Daily Limit: 2 losing trades.
- Weekly Limit: 4% drawdown.
- Max Drawdown: 10% of account balance.
- R:R Requirement: Minimum 2:1.
Position Sizing Model
- Sizing Approach: Fixed dollar amount per trade.
- Volatility Adjustment: N/A.
- Conviction Sizing: N/A.
- Scaling In: N/A.
- Scaling Out: N/A.
Trade Filtering
- Market Conditions: Any.
- Setups: Dark pool print + options order.
- Instruments: Any.
- Time Restrictions: Any.
- Chop/News Avoidance: N/A.
Context Framework
- Trend Direction: N/A.
- VWAP Relationship: N/A.
- MA Relationship: N/A.
- Range Location: N/A.
- Higher TF Alignment: N/A.
Trade Management Rules
- Breakeven: Move stop to breakeven after 25% gain.
- Scale Out: N/A.
- Add Size: N/A.
- Fast vs Slow Moves: N/A.
Time Rules
- Optimal Window: Any.
- Times to Avoid: N/A.
- Session Notes: N/A.
Setup Classification
- A+ Criteria: Very large dark pool print and options order with technical confirmation.
- A Criteria: Large dark pool print and options order with technical confirmation.
- B Criteria: Large dark pool print and options order without technical confirmation.
- C Criteria: Avoid.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instruments: Any.
- Volume: High.
- Volatility: Any.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Win Rate: 60%.
- Avg Win: 50%.
- Avg Loss: 25%.
- Profit Factor: 1.2.
- Expectancy: Positive.
Failure Conditions
- Strategy Fails: When the signals are misleading.
- Specific Scenarios: Institutional hedging.
Psychological Rules
- Mental Discipline: Be patient and wait for both signals.
Advanced Components
- Regime Detection: N/A.
- Filters: Use a filter for dark pool prints and options orders.
- Correlation: N/A.
- MTF Alignment: N/A.
Location
- Strongest: When the signals are aligned and confirmed by price action.
- Weakest: When the signals are not confirmed.