Strategy #506
Synthetic Short Day Trade
Entry Logic
- Entry Trigger: Sell a call and buy a put at the same strike price.
- Confirmation: Bearish outlook on the underlying.
- Timeframe: 5-minute chart.
- Location: N/A.
- Market Condition: Downtrend.
Exit Logic
- Profit Target: 30% gain.
- Scaling Out: N/A.
- Trailing Stop: 15% trailing stop.
- Signal Failure: N/A.
- Opposite Signal: N/A.
- Time Expiration: Close by end of day.
- Momentum Loss: N/A.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard Stop: 15% loss.
- Soft Stop: N/A.
- Max Dollar Loss: $150 per trade.
- Max Percent Loss: 15% of the premium.
- Structural Stop: N/A.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk Per Trade: 1% of account balance.
- Daily Limit: 3 losing trades.
- Weekly Limit: 5% drawdown.
- Max Drawdown: 15% of account balance.
- R:R Requirement: Minimum 2:1.
Position Sizing Model
- Sizing Approach: Fixed dollar amount per trade.
- Volatility Adjustment: N/A.
- Conviction Sizing: N/A.
- Scaling In: N/A.
- Scaling Out: N/A.
Trade Filtering
- Market Conditions: Downtrend.
- Setups: Bearish.
- Instruments: Any.
- Time Restrictions: Any.
- Chop/News Avoidance: N/A.
Context Framework
- Trend Direction: Down.
- VWAP Relationship: Below VWAP.
- MA Relationship: Below the 9 and 21 EMAs.
- Range Location: N/A.
- Higher TF Alignment: N/A.
Trade Management Rules
- Breakeven: Move stop to breakeven after 15% gain.
- Scale Out: N/A.
- Add Size: N/A.
- Fast vs Slow Moves: N/A.
Time Rules
- Optimal Window: Any.
- Times to Avoid: N/A.
- Session Notes: N/A.
Setup Classification
- A+ Criteria: Strong downtrend with technical confirmation.
- A Criteria: Downtrend.
- B Criteria: Weak downtrend.
- C Criteria: Avoid.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instruments: Any.
- Volume: High.
- Volatility: Any.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Win Rate: 50%.
- Avg Win: 30%.
- Avg Loss: 15%.
- Profit Factor: 1.0.
- Expectancy: Neutral.
Failure Conditions
- Strategy Fails: In an uptrend.
- Specific Scenarios: A sudden reversal.
Psychological Rules
- Mental Discipline: Be bearish.
Advanced Components
- Regime Detection: N/A.
- Filters: N/A.
- Correlation: N/A.
- MTF Alignment: N/A.
Location
- Strongest: In a strong downtrend.
- Weakest: In an uptrend.