Ch. 13Strategy #512

Strategy #512

SPX 0DTE Credit Spread

Entry Logic

  • Entry Trigger: Sell a credit spread on SPX.
  • Confirmation: Neutral to directional bias.
  • Timeframe: 15-minute chart.
  • Location: N/A.
  • Market Condition: Any.

Exit Logic

  • Profit Target: 50% of the credit received.
  • Scaling Out: N/A.
  • Trailing Stop: N/A.
  • Signal Failure: N/A.
  • Opposite Signal: N/A.
  • Time Expiration: Hold until expiration.
  • Momentum Loss: N/A.

Stop Loss Structure

  • Hard Stop: 2x the credit received.
  • Soft Stop: N/A.
  • Max Dollar Loss: $200 per spread.
  • Max Percent Loss: 200% of the credit received.
  • Structural Stop: N/A.

Risk Management Framework

  • Risk Per Trade: 2% of account balance.
  • Daily Limit: 1 losing trade.
  • Weekly Limit: 4% drawdown.
  • Max Drawdown: 10% of account balance.
  • R:R Requirement: Minimum 1:2.

Position Sizing Model

  • Sizing Approach: Fixed number of contracts.
  • Volatility Adjustment: N/A.
  • Conviction Sizing: N/A.
  • Scaling In: N/A.
  • Scaling Out: N/A.

Trade Filtering

  • Market Conditions: Any.
  • Setups: N/A.
  • Instruments: SPX.
  • Time Restrictions: Any.
  • Chop/News Avoidance: N/A.

Context Framework

  • Trend Direction: Any.
  • VWAP Relationship: N/A.
  • MA Relationship: N/A.
  • Range Location: N/A.
  • Higher TF Alignment: N/A.

Trade Management Rules

  • Breakeven: N/A.
  • Scale Out: N/A.
  • Add Size: N/A.
  • Fast vs Slow Moves: N/A.

Time Rules

  • Optimal Window: Any.
  • Times to Avoid: N/A.
  • Session Notes: N/A.

Setup Classification

  • A+ Criteria: N/A.
  • A Criteria: N/A.
  • B Criteria: N/A.
  • C Criteria: N/A.

Market Selection Criteria

  • Instruments: SPX.
  • Volume: High.
  • Volatility: Any.

Statistical Edge Metrics

  • Win Rate: 80%.
  • Avg Win: 50% of credit.
  • Avg Loss: 200% of credit.
  • Profit Factor: 1.0.
  • Expectancy: Neutral.

Failure Conditions

  • Strategy Fails: When the market makes a large, unexpected move.
  • Specific Scenarios: Black swan events.

Psychological Rules

  • Mental Discipline: Be comfortable with the risk.

Advanced Components

  • Regime Detection: N/A.
  • Filters: N/A.
  • Correlation: N/A.
  • MTF Alignment: N/A.

Location

  • Strongest: In range-bound markets.
  • Weakest: In trending markets.