Strategy #570
Multi-Timeframe Structure Alignment
Entry Logic
- Entry trigger: A trade setup (e.g., a pullback entry) appears on the 15-minute chart, and it is perfectly aligned with the market structure of the 1-hour, 4-hour, and daily charts.
- Confirmation: All four timeframes are showing a clear trend in the same direction.
- Timeframe: Daily, 4-hour, 1-hour, and 15-minute.
- Location context: The entry should be at a logical support/resistance level on the 15-minute chart.
- Market condition: A strong, established trend across all timeframes.
Exit Logic
- Profit target: A major swing high/low on the 1-hour chart.
- Scaling out: 50% at 3R.
- Trailing stop: Trail below the 1-hour 20 EMA.
- Signal failure exit: Exit if the 15-minute structure breaks.
- Opposite signal exit: Exit if the 1-hour structure breaks.
- Time expiration: Hold for as long as the alignment is intact.
- Momentum loss: Exit if momentum diverges on the 1-hour chart.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard stop: Below the low of the 15-minute setup.
- Soft stop: Not used.
- Max dollar loss: $200 per trade.
- Max percent loss: 1% of account.
- Structural stop: The low of the 15-minute setup.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk per trade: 0.75% of account.
- Daily limit: 2 losing trades.
- Weekly limit: 3% drawdown.
- Max drawdown: 10%.
- R:R requirement: Minimum 3:1.
Position Sizing Model
- Sizing approach: Fixed fractional sizing.
- Volatility adjustment: Standard sizing.
- Conviction sizing: This is an A+ setup by definition; use full size.
- Scaling in: Can add on subsequent 15-minute setups.
- Scaling out: At 3R.
Trade Filtering
- Market conditions to avoid: Any market that is not perfectly aligned across all timeframes.
- Setups required: A clear trend on all four timeframes.
- Instruments: Any liquid instrument.
- Time restrictions: High-volume sessions.
- Chop/news avoidance: Avoid around news.
Context Framework
- Trend direction: Aligned on all timeframes.
- VWAP relationship: Price is on the correct side of the VWAP on all timeframes.
- MA relationship: MAs are aligned on all timeframes.
- Range location: Not a range trade.
- Higher TF alignment: This is the core of the strategy.
Trade Management Rules
- Breakeven: Move to breakeven at 2R.
- Scale out: At 3R.
- Add size: On subsequent 15-minute setups.
- Fast vs slow moves: Let profits run.
Time Rules
- Optimal window: Any high-volume session.
- Times to avoid: Low-volume periods.
- Session notes: These setups are rare, but have a very high probability of success.
Setup Classification
- A+ criteria: Perfect alignment across all four timeframes.
- A criteria: Not applicable.
- B criteria: Not applicable.
- C criteria: Not applicable.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instruments: Any liquid instrument.
- Volume: High.
- Volatility: Moderate to high.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Win rate: 70%+.
- Avg win: 4R.
- Avg loss: 1R.
- Profit factor: 2.8+.
- Expectancy: Very high.
Failure Conditions
- The alignment breaks down on one of the timeframes.
- A major news event causes a sudden reversal.
Psychological Rules
- Requires patience to wait for these rare setups.
- Requires conviction to take a large position.
Advanced Components
- Regime detection: This is the definition of a trending regime.
- Filters: Not necessary.
- Correlation: The alignment should be confirmed by the broader market.
- MTF alignment: This is the strategy.
Location
- Strongest: In a strong, established trend.
- Weakest: Not applicable.