Strategy #604
Relative Volume Momentum
Entry Logic
- Enter long when the relative volume is above 2.0 and the price is breaking out to new highs.
- Confirmation: The breakout candle must be bullish and close strong.
- Timeframe: 5-minute chart.
- Location: Near the high of the day.
- Market Condition: A strong uptrend.
Exit Logic
- Profit Target: 2R.
- Scaling Out: Not recommended.
- Trailing Stop: The 10-period EMA.
- Signal Failure: A close back below the breakout level.
- Opposite Signal: A bearish reversal candle with high volume.
- Time Expiration: End of the day.
- Momentum Loss: A failure to make a new high.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard Stop: Below the low of the breakout candle.
- Soft Stop: A close below the 10-period EMA.
- Max Dollar Loss: $80 per trade.
- Max Percent Loss: 0.8% of account.
- Structural Stop: Below the breakout level.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk Per Trade: 0.4% of account.
- Daily Limit: 4 losing trades.
- Weekly Limit: 5% drawdown.
- Max Drawdown: 15%.
- R:R Requirement: Minimum 2:1.
Position Sizing Model
- Sizing Approach: Fixed fractional.
- Volatility Adjustment: No adjustment needed.
- Conviction Sizing: Full size on A+ setups.
- Scaling In: Not recommended.
- Scaling Out: Not recommended.
Trade Filtering
- Market Conditions: Only trade in strong uptrends.
- Setups: Look for breakouts with high relative volume.
- Instruments: High-volume stocks.
- Time Restrictions: Best in the morning session.
- Chop/News Avoidance: Avoid trading around news.
Context Framework
- Trend Direction: Must be in a clear uptrend.
- VWAP Relationship: Price should be above VWAP.
- MA Relationship: Price should be above the 20-period and 50-period SMAs.
- Range Location: Not applicable.
- Higher TF Alignment: The daily chart should be in an uptrend.
Trade Management Rules
- Breakeven: Move stop to breakeven after a 1R move.
- Scale Out: Not recommended.
- Add Size: Not recommended.
- Fast vs Slow Moves: Let fast moves run.
Time Rules
- Optimal Window: 9:30 AM to 11:00 AM EST.
- Times to Avoid: Lunchtime and the afternoon session.
- Session Notes: Strongest in the morning.
Setup Classification
- A+ Setup: A clear breakout with relative volume above 3.0.
- A Setup: A good breakout with relative volume above 2.0.
- B Setup: A breakout with relative volume below 2.0.
- C Setup: Avoid breakouts with low relative volume.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instruments: Stocks with a daily volume of over 2 million shares.
- Volume: High relative volume.
- Volatility: High volatility.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Win Rate: 50%.
- Avg Win: 2R.
- Avg Loss: 1R.
- Profit Factor: 1.0.
- Expectancy: 0.0R per trade.
Failure Conditions
- The strategy fails in choppy, sideways markets.
- Avoid trading if the relative volume is low.
Psychological Rules
- Be aggressive when the conditions are right.
- Do not chase breakouts.
Advanced Components
- Regime Detection: Use a trend filter.
- Filters: Use a relative volume filter.
- Correlation: Avoid correlated instruments.
- MTF Alignment: Ensure higher timeframe alignment.
Location
- Strongest: At the open of the market.
- Weakest: In the afternoon session.