Strategy #614
Volume Oscillator Trade
Entry Logic
- Enter long when the Volume Oscillator crosses above the zero line.
- Confirmation: The price must be in an uptrend.
- Timeframe: 60-minute chart.
- Location: In an uptrend.
- Market Condition: A trending market.
Exit Logic
- Profit Target: 2R.
- Scaling Out: Not recommended.
- Trailing Stop: The 20-period EMA.
- Signal Failure: The Volume Oscillator crosses back below the zero line.
- Opposite Signal: A bearish reversal candle with high volume.
- Time Expiration: End of the day.
- Momentum Loss: A failure to make a new high.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard Stop: Below the low of the entry candle.
- Soft Stop: A close below the 20-period EMA.
- Max Dollar Loss: $90 per trade.
- Max Percent Loss: 0.9% of account.
- Structural Stop: Below the most recent swing low.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk Per Trade: 0.45% of account.
- Daily Limit: 3 losing trades.
- Weekly Limit: 4% drawdown.
- Max Drawdown: 12%.
- R:R Requirement: Minimum 2:1.
Position Sizing Model
- Sizing Approach: Fixed fractional.
- Volatility Adjustment: No adjustment needed.
- Conviction Sizing: Full size on A+ setups.
- Scaling In: Not recommended.
- Scaling Out: Not recommended.
Trade Filtering
- Market Conditions: Only trade in trending markets.
- Setups: Look for Volume Oscillator crossovers.
- Instruments: High-volume stocks.
- Time Restrictions: No restrictions.
- Chop/News Avoidance: Avoid trading around news.
Context Framework
- Trend Direction: Must be in a clear uptrend.
- VWAP Relationship: Price should be above VWAP.
- MA Relationship: Price should be above the 50-period SMA.
- Range Location: Not applicable.
- Higher TF Alignment: The daily chart should be in an uptrend.
Trade Management Rules
- Breakeven: Move stop to breakeven after a 1R move.
- Scale Out: Not recommended.
- Add Size: Not recommended.
- Fast vs Slow Moves: Let fast moves run.
Time Rules
- Optimal Window: Any time during the day.
- Times to Avoid: None.
- Session Notes: Works well in all sessions.
Setup Classification
- A+ Setup: A Volume Oscillator crossover in a strong uptrend.
- A Setup: A Volume Oscillator crossover in a good uptrend.
- B Setup: A Volume Oscillator crossover in a weak uptrend.
- C Setup: Avoid weak setups.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instruments: Stocks with a daily volume of over 1 million shares.
- Volume: High volume.
- Volatility: Moderate volatility.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Win Rate: 50%.
- Avg Win: 2R.
- Avg Loss: 1R.
- Profit Factor: 1.0.
- Expectancy: 0.0R per trade.
Failure Conditions
- The strategy fails in choppy, sideways markets.
- Avoid trading if the trend is not clear.
Psychological Rules
- Be patient and wait for the right setup.
- Do not force trades.
Advanced Components
- Regime Detection: Use a trend filter.
- Filters: Use the Volume Oscillator as a filter.
- Correlation: Avoid correlated instruments.
- MTF Alignment: Ensure higher timeframe alignment.
Location
- Strongest: In a strong trend.
- Weakest: In a choppy market.