Strategy #625
Volume Imbalance at Support/Resistance
Entry Logic
- Enter long on a test of a support level where there is a significant volume imbalance on the bid side.
- Confirmation: A bullish reversal candle.
- Timeframe: 1-minute chart with order flow data.
- Location: At a key support level.
- Market Condition: Any market condition.
Exit Logic
- Profit Target: 1R.
- Scaling Out: Not recommended.
- Trailing Stop: A close below the support level.
- Signal Failure: A close below the support level.
- Opposite Signal: A large volume imbalance on the ask side.
- Time Expiration: 15 minutes.
- Momentum Loss: A failure to move away from the support level.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard Stop: Below the low of the reversal candle.
- Soft Stop: A close below the support level.
- Max Dollar Loss: $50 per trade.
- Max Percent Loss: 0.5% of account.
- Structural Stop: Below the support level.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk Per Trade: 0.25% of account.
- Daily Limit: 5 losing trades.
- Weekly Limit: 5% drawdown.
- Max Drawdown: 15%.
- R:R Requirement: Minimum 1:1.
Position Sizing Model
- Sizing Approach: Fixed fractional.
- Volatility Adjustment: No adjustment needed.
- Conviction Sizing: Full size on A+ setups.
- Scaling In: Not recommended.
- Scaling Out: Not recommended.
Trade Filtering
- Market Conditions: Any market condition.
- Setups: Look for volume imbalances at support and resistance.
- Instruments: Futures and other instruments with order flow data.
- Time Restrictions: No restrictions.
- Chop/News Avoidance: Avoid trading around news.
Context Framework
- Trend Direction: Not applicable.
- VWAP Relationship: Not applicable.
- MA Relationship: Not applicable.
- Range Location: At a key support or resistance level.
- Higher TF Alignment: Not applicable.
Trade Management Rules
- Breakeven: Not applicable.
- Scale Out: Not applicable.
- Add Size: Not recommended.
- Fast vs Slow Moves: Take profits quickly.
Time Rules
- Optimal Window: Any time during the day.
- Times to Avoid: None.
- Session Notes: Works well in all sessions.
Setup Classification
- A+ Setup: A large volume imbalance with a clear reversal candle.
- A Setup: A decent volume imbalance with a good reversal candle.
- B Setup: A questionable volume imbalance or reversal candle.
- C Setup: Avoid weak setups.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instruments: Futures and other instruments with order flow data.
- Volume: High volume.
- Volatility: Any volatility.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Win Rate: 70%.
- Avg Win: 1R.
- Avg Loss: 1R.
- Profit Factor: 0.7.
- Expectancy: -0.3R per trade.
Failure Conditions
- The strategy fails if the volume imbalance is not significant.
- Avoid trading if the reversal candle is weak.
Psychological Rules
- Be quick to take profits and cut losses.
- Do not get attached to any single trade.
Advanced Components
- Regime Detection: Not applicable.
- Filters: Use an order flow filter.
- Correlation: Avoid correlated instruments.
- MTF Alignment: Not applicable.
Location
- Strongest: At key support and resistance levels.
- Weakest: In the middle of a range.