Ch. 22Strategy #751

Strategy #751

Micro E-mini Scalp Strategy

Entry Logic

  • Exact Entry Trigger: Enter long on a one-tick breakout above a 1-minute candle's high. Enter short on a one-tick breakdown below a 1-minute candle's low.
  • Confirmation: The move should be in the direction of the 5-minute trend.
  • Timeframe: 1-minute chart for entry, 5-minute chart for trend direction.
  • Location Context: Trade in the direction of the trend, not at key support or resistance levels.
  • Market Condition: A trending market with good order flow.

Exit Logic

  • Profit Targets: A fixed target of 4-6 ticks.
  • Scaling Out: Not recommended.
  • Trailing Stop: Not used.
  • Signal Failure Exit: Exit if the trade does not move in your favor within 1 minute.
  • Opposite Signal Exit: Not applicable.
  • Time Expiration: Exit after 1 minute.
  • Momentum Loss: Not applicable.

Stop Loss Structure

  • Hard Stop: A fixed stop of 4 ticks from the entry price.
  • Soft Stop: Not used.
  • Max Dollar Loss: $20 per contract.
  • Max Percent Loss: 0.2% of account capital.
  • Structural Stop: Not applicable.

Risk Management Framework

  • Risk Per Trade: 0.1% of account capital.
  • Maximum Daily Loss Limit: 0.5% of account capital.
  • Maximum Weekly Loss Limit: 2% of account capital.
  • Maximum Drawdown: 5% from peak equity.
  • R:R Requirement: 1:1 risk-reward ratio.

Position Sizing Model

  • Sizing Approach: Fixed contract size.
  • Volatility Adjustment: Not applicable.
  • Conviction Sizing: Not applicable.
  • Scaling In: Not recommended.
  • Scaling Out: Not recommended.

Trade Filtering

  • Market Conditions to Avoid: Choppy, low-volume markets.
  • Specific Setups Required: A clear trend on the 5-minute chart.
  • Instruments: MES (Micro E-mini S&P 500), MNQ (Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100).
  • Time Restrictions: Trade during the most liquid hours of the US session.
  • Chop/News Avoidance: Avoid trading during major news events.

Context Framework

  • Trend Direction: Trade in the direction of the 5-minute trend.
  • VWAP Relationship: For longs, the price should be above VWAP. For shorts, the price should be below VWAP.
  • MA Relationship: The 9 EMA should be above the 20 EMA for longs, and below for shorts on the 5-minute chart.
  • Range Location: Not applicable.
  • Higher TF Alignment: Not applicable.

Trade Management Rules

  • Breakeven: Not applicable.
  • Scale Out: Not applicable.
  • Add Size: Not recommended.
  • Fast vs Slow Moves: This is a very fast strategy. Be prepared for immediate fills and exits.

Time Rules

  • Optimal Trading Window: The first and last hour of the US session.
  • Times to Avoid: The midday chop.
  • Session Notes: This strategy requires a direct-access broker with low latency.

Setup Classification

  • A+ Setup: A clear trend with good order flow and high volume.
  • A Setup: A decent trend with moderate volume.
  • B Setup: A weak trend or low volume.
  • C Setup: Avoid. A choppy market.

Market Selection Criteria

  • Instruments: MES, MNQ.
  • Volume/Liquidity: Very high volume and liquidity are essential.
  • Volatility: Moderate to high volatility is preferred.

Statistical Edge Metrics

  • Win Rate: 55-60%.
  • Avg Win: 1R.
  • Avg Loss: 1R.
  • Profit Factor: 1.2.
  • Expectancy: 0.1R per trade.

Failure Conditions

  • When Strategy Fails: In choppy, low-volume markets.
  • Specific Scenarios to Avoid: Trading against the trend.

Psychological Rules

  • Mental Discipline: This strategy requires extreme focus and discipline. You must be able to make decisions quickly and without hesitation.

Advanced Components

  • Regime Detection: Not applicable.
  • Filters: Use a volume filter to confirm the strength of the trend.
  • Correlation: Not applicable.
  • MTF Alignment: Not applicable.

Location

  • Where Strongest: In a strong, trending market with high liquidity.
  • Where Weakest: In a choppy, low-volume market.