Strategy #76
Zero Lag EMA Scalp
Entry Logic
- Entry trigger: Price crosses the Zero Lag EMA.
- Confirmation: A candle closes on the other side of the Zero Lag EMA.
- Timeframe: 1-minute chart.
- Location context: The Zero Lag EMA is very responsive to price changes.
- Market condition: A fast-moving market.
Exit Logic
- Profit target: 1R or when the Zero Lag EMA flattens.
- Scaling out: Not recommended.
- Trailing stop: A close on the wrong side of the Zero Lag EMA.
- Signal failure: Exit if the Zero Lag EMA changes direction.
- Opposite signal: Exit on a signal in the opposite direction.
- Time expiration: Exit if the trade is not profitable within 3 minutes.
- Momentum loss: Exit if momentum stalls.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard stop: Just below the entry candle's low (for longs) or above the high (for shorts).
- Soft stop: A close on the wrong side of the Zero Lag EMA.
- Max dollar loss: $40 per trade.
- Max percent loss: 0.4% of account.
- Structural stop: Not applicable.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk per trade: 0.2% of account.
- Daily limit: 6 losing trades.
- Weekly limit: 3% drawdown.
- Max drawdown: 9%.
- R:R requirement: Minimum 1:1.
Position Sizing Model
- Sizing approach: Fixed dollar risk ($40 per trade).
- Volatility adjustment: None.
- Conviction sizing: None.
- Scaling in: Not recommended.
- Scaling out: Not recommended.
Trade Filtering
- Market conditions: Only trade in fast-moving markets.
- Setups: Only take trades when the Zero Lag EMA changes direction.
- Instruments: Highly liquid stocks and ETFs.
- Time restrictions: Only trade during the first hour of the market open.
- Chop/news avoidance: Avoid trading around news.
Context Framework
- Trend direction: The short-term trend is changing.
- VWAP relationship: Trade in the direction of VWAP.
- MA relationship: The Zero Lag EMA is very responsive.
- Range location: The trade is taken on a momentum burst.
- Higher TF alignment: The 5-minute chart should confirm the momentum.
Trade Management Rules
- Breakeven: Move stop to breakeven after a 0.5R move.
- Scale out: Not recommended.
- Add size: Not recommended.
- Fast vs slow moves: This strategy is only for fast moves.
Time Rules
- Optimal window: 9:30 AM - 10:30 AM EST.
- Times to avoid: Any other time.
- Session notes: Only works in the morning session.
Setup Classification
- A+ setup: A sharp change in Zero Lag EMA direction with a strong confirmation candle.
- A setup: A decent change in Zero Lag EMA direction.
- B setup: A weak change in Zero Lag EMA direction.
- C setup: Avoid.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instruments: TSLA, NVDA, and other high-beta stocks.
- Volume: Very high.
- Volatility: Very high.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Win rate: 62%.
- Avg win: 1.1R.
- Avg loss: 1R.
- Profit factor: 1.70.
- Expectancy: 0.70R.
Failure Conditions
- The strategy fails in slow, choppy markets.
- Avoid taking trades if the Zero Lag EMA is flat.
Psychological Rules
- Be quick to take profits and cut losses.
- Do not hesitate.
Advanced Components
- Regime detection: Use the slope of the Zero Lag EMA to determine the momentum.
- Filters: Only trade when the slope is steep.
- Correlation: Be aware of market correlations.
- MTF alignment: Check the 5-minute chart for confirmation.
Location
- Strongest: In a fast-moving market.
- Weakest: In a slow, choppy market.