Strategy #588
Auto Fibonacci Retracement Trade
Entry Logic
- Exact Entry Trigger: The auto Fibonacci retracement tool plots a level that is then touched by price.
- Confirmation: A reversal candle at the auto-plotted level.
- Timeframe: Any.
- Location Context: Varies based on the swing points the tool identifies.
- Market Condition: A trending market.
Exit Logic
- Profit Target(s): The previous swing high/low.
- Scaling Out: None.
- Trailing Stop: A moving average.
- Exit on Signal Failure: A close through the retracement level.
- Exit on Opposite Signal: A reversal signal.
- Exit on Time Expiration: None.
- Exit on Momentum Loss: Divergence.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard Stop: Beyond the next retracement level.
- Soft Stop: A close through the level.
- Maximum Dollar Loss: Varies.
- Maximum Percent Loss: Varies.
- Structural Stop: Behind a structural level.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk Per Trade: Varies.
- Maximum Daily Loss Limit: Varies.
- Maximum Weekly Loss Limit: Varies.
- Maximum Drawdown: Varies.
- Risk-Reward Ratio: Minimum 1:2.
Position Sizing Model
- Sizing Approach: Varies.
- Volatility-Based Adjustment: Yes.
- Conviction-Based Sizing: Yes.
- Scaling In: No.
- Scaling Out: No.
Trade Filtering
- Market Conditions to Avoid: Ranging markets.
- Specific Setups Required: A clear trend.
- Instrument Requirements: Any.
- Time of Day Restrictions: None.
- Chop/News Avoidance: Be aware of news.
Context Framework
- Trend Direction: With the trend.
- VWAP Relationship: Varies.
- Moving Average Relationship: Varies.
- Range Location: Not for ranges.
- Higher Timeframe Alignment: Recommended.
Trade Management Rules
- Breakeven: After 1R.
- Scale Out: No.
- Add Size: No.
- Fast vs. Slow Moves: Adjust accordingly.
Time Rules
- Optimal Trading Window: Any.
- Times to Avoid: None.
- Session-Specific Notes: None.
Setup Classification
- A+ Setup: A bounce off a key auto-plotted level with strong confirmation.
- A Setup: A bounce off a minor auto-plotted level.
- B Setup: A weak bounce.
- C Setup: No bounce.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instrument Requirements: Any.
- Volume/Liquidity: Good.
- Volatility: Moderate.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Expected Win Rate: 50-60%
- Average Win: 2.5R
- Average Loss: 1R
- Profit Factor: 1.25-1.5
- Expectancy Per Trade: +0.25-0.5R
Failure Conditions
- Market Conditions: A trend reversal.
- Specific Scenarios: A news event.
Psychological Rules
- Mental Discipline: Trust in the automated tool, but also use discretion.
Advanced Components
- Market Regime Detection: None.
- Volatility/Liquidity Filters: None.
- Correlation Filters: None.
- Multi-Timeframe Alignment: Recommended.
Location
- Where Strongest: In a clear, textbook trend.
- Where Weakest: In a choppy, unpredictable market.