Fibonacci Pivot Points

Entry Logic

• Exact Entry Trigger: Price interacts with a pivot point level that is calculated using Fibonacci numbers.
• Confirmation: A rejection of the pivot level with a reversal candle.
• Timeframe: Any.
• Location Context: The pivot points are calculated based on the previous day's high, low, and close.
• Market Condition: Any.

Exit Logic

• Profit Target(s): The next Fibonacci pivot level.
• Scaling Out: None.
• Trailing Stop: A moving average.
• Exit on Signal Failure: A close through the pivot level.
• Exit on Opposite Signal: A reversal signal.
• Exit on Time Expiration: None.
• Exit on Momentum Loss: Divergence.

Stop Loss Structure

• Hard Stop: Beyond the pivot level.
• Soft Stop: A close through the pivot level.
• Maximum Dollar Loss: Varies.
• Maximum Percent Loss: Varies.
• Structural Stop: Behind a structural level.

Risk Management Framework

• Risk Per Trade: Varies.
• Maximum Daily Loss Limit: Varies.
• Maximum Weekly Loss Limit: Varies.
• Maximum Drawdown: Varies.
• Risk-Reward Ratio: Minimum 1:2.

Position Sizing Model

• Sizing Approach: Varies.
• Volatility-Based Adjustment: Yes.
• Conviction-Based Sizing: Yes.
• Scaling In: No.
• Scaling Out: No.

Trade Filtering

• Market Conditions to Avoid: None.
• Specific Setups Required: A clear interaction with a Fibonacci pivot.
• Instrument Requirements: Any.
• Time of Day Restrictions: None.
• Chop/News Avoidance: Be aware of news.

Context Framework

• Trend Direction: Varies.
• VWAP Relationship: Varies.
• Moving Average Relationship: Varies.
• Range Location: Can be used in ranges.
• Higher Timeframe Alignment: Recommended.

Trade Management Rules

• Breakeven: After 1R.
• Scale Out: No.
• Add Size: No.
• Fast vs. Slow Moves: Adjust accordingly.

Time Rules

• Optimal Trading Window: Any.
• Times to Avoid: None.
• Session-Specific Notes: None.

Setup Classification

• A+ Setup: A rejection of a major Fibonacci pivot with strong confirmation.
• A Setup: A rejection of a minor Fibonacci pivot.
• B Setup: A weak rejection.
• C Setup: No rejection.

Market Selection Criteria

• Instrument Requirements: Any.
• Volume/Liquidity: Good.
• Volatility: Moderate.

Statistical Edge Metrics

• Expected Win Rate: 55-65%
• Average Win: 2R
• Average Loss: 1R
• Profit Factor: 1.22-1.86
• Expectancy Per Trade: +0.22-0.86R

Failure Conditions

• Market Conditions: A strong trend that ignores the pivots.
• Specific Scenarios: A news event.

Psychological Rules

• Mental Discipline: The ability to trade off of these calculated levels.

Advanced Components

• Market Regime Detection: None.
• Volatility/Liquidity Filters: None.
• Correlation Filters: None.
• Multi-Timeframe Alignment: Recommended.

Location

• Where Strongest: In markets that respect pivot points.
• Where Weakest: In strongly trending markets that ignore horizontal levels.