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Module 1 · Chapter 3

Measuring Deviation from the Mean

Part of Foundations of Mean Reversion

1
Standard Deviation: The Classic Dispersion Measure
Standard deviation measures the dispersion of data points around their mean. In finance, it quantifies price volatility. A high standard deviation indicates prices fluctuate widely. A low standard dev
5 min
2
Z-Score: Normalizing Price Distance from the Mean
The Z-score quantifies a data point's distance from the mean. It measures this distance in standard deviation units. Traders use the Z-score to normalize price data. This normalization allows comparis
5 min
3
Bollinger Bands: Visualizing Standard Deviation Envelopes
Bollinger Bands measure price volatility. John Bollinger developed them in the 1980s. They consist of three lines. A simple moving average (SMA) forms the middle band. An upper band and a lower band f
5 min
4
Keltner Channels: ATR-Based Deviation Bands
Keltner Channels define price deviation from a moving average. Chester Keltner introduced them in 1960. They use the Average True Range (ATR) to set band width. ATR measures volatility. This makes Kel
5 min
5
Percent Rank and Percentile-Based Deviation
Percent rank measures a data point's position within a dataset. It expresses this position as a percentage. A percent rank of 90 means 90% of the data points fall below the current value. This contras
5 min
6
Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) and Its Advantages
Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) measures the average distance between each data point and the mean. It quantifies typical variation in a dataset. Traders use MAD to assess asset price volatility. They i
5 min
7
Interquartile Range (IQR) for Robust Deviation Measurement
The Interquartile Range (IQR) measures statistical dispersion. It quantifies the spread of the middle 50% of data points. IQR offers a robust alternative to standard deviation. Standard deviation is s
5 min
8
The Concept of Sigma Events in Financial Markets
Sigma events represent extreme price deviations. They measure how far a price moves from its mean, expressed in standard deviations. A 1-sigma event means the price moved one standard deviation from t
5 min
9
Dynamic vs. Static Deviation Thresholds
Mean reversion strategies identify asset prices deviating significantly from their historical average. Traders then bet on a return to that average. Defining "significant deviation" is central to thes
5 min
10
Building a Universal Deviation Scoring System
Financial assets rarely move in straight lines. They oscillate around a mean. Mean reversion strategies exploit this oscillation. A universal scoring system quantifies this deviation. This system allo
5 min