Does this predict how many losses in a row I'll actually have?

No. You choose the length of the hypothetical losing streak yourself. This is a stress test comparing two sizing behaviors under the same scenario, not a prediction of future market outcomes.

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How much could revenge trading actually cost me over the next 20 trades?

Q: How much could revenge trading actually cost me over the next 20 trades?

Set your account size, normal risk per trade, a hypothetical number of consecutive losses, and an escalation rate. The simulator compares flat, disciplined sizing against sizing that grows after each loss, and shows the dollar difference in ending balance.

The traders who last aren't the ones who never lose. They're the ones who never guess.

Jason Parker, Founder of Trading Habits

Set Up the Scenario

This models a hypothetical losing streak you choose the length of. It does not predict whether you will actually experience one, or when.

Your Result

Fill in your scenario, then click Run the Comparison to see the extra cost of sizing up after each loss.

How this is calculated

This models a hypothetical string of consecutive losing trades that you choose the length of. It is an intentional worst-case stress test, not a projection or a prediction that you will experience a losing streak of this length.
The "disciplined" path assumes flat percentage risk, sized off your current balance, on every trade in the streak, the standard percent-of-account sizing method.
The "revenge" path assumes your risk percentage increases by the escalation rate after every loss, a common pattern of sizing up to try to win losses back faster.
Both paths assume every trade in this scenario is a full loss at the sized risk amount on that trade.
This is a hypothetical mathematical scenario, not a guarantee or projection of your actual future results.

Risk & liability disclaimer: This calculator produces a mathematical estimate based on the numbers you enter. It is not financial advice and does not guarantee any trading outcome. Trading involves risk of loss, and past sizing decisions do not predict future results. Trading Habits is not a broker-dealer, registered investment adviser, mental health professional, or tax professional, and is not affiliated with any broker, exchange, or data provider. We do not guarantee this tool is error-free or suitable for your situation, always verify results independently and consult a licensed professional before making any trading or financial decision. You could lose some or all of the capital you trade with.

How much could revenge trading actually cost me over the next 20 trades?

Set Up the Scenario

Your Result

How this is calculated

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